Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Barrera vs Drew Fickett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Drew Fickett
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Drew Fickett

“Night Rider”

43-22-0LightweightSFP

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record43-22-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight151 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Scrub

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel BarreraNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Drew FickettNow 1557
If they win+12→ 1569
If they lose-12→ 1545

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
2.45
71%
Strike accuracy
42%
1.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
28%
Strike defense
57%
1
Takedown avg.
1.42
8%
Takedown accuracy
38%
0%
Takedown defense
31%
0
Submission avg.
1.90

Trajectory

Daniel BarreraDrew Fickett
150015501600200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (9%)
1 (33%)
Submission
31 (72%)
1 (33%)
Decision
8 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Barrera70%
Drew Fickett 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Barrera a 70% favorite over Drew Fickett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Drew Fickett's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1557), separated by just 6 points.

Daniel Barrera enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Drew Fickett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Barrera finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Drew Fickett 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.