Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Pineda vs Fredson Paixao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

28-17-0Record10-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
69"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel PinedaNow 1593
If they win+12→ 1605
If they lose-12→ 1581
Fredson PaixaoNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.85
Sig. strikes / min
1.71
50%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
46%
Strike defense
62%
1.42
Takedown avg.
0.62
24%
Takedown accuracy
11%
55%
Takedown defense
10%
1.54
Submission avg.
2.16

Trajectory

Daniel PinedaFredson Paixao
1600165020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (32%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
19 (68%)
Submission
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Fredson Paixao63%
Daniel Pineda 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fredson Paixao a 63% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Pineda's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1593), separated by just 0 points.

Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Fredson Paixao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Pineda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Fredson Paixao 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.