Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Pineda vs Marko Ančić

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-17-0Record5-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1659 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team Zagreb· 1614 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel PinedaNow 1593
If they win+12→ 1605
If they lose-12→ 1581
Marko AnčićNow 1592
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.85
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
46%
Strike defense
Not available
1.42
Takedown avg.
Not available
24%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
55%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.54
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Daniel PinedaMarko Ančić
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (32%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
19 (68%)
Submission
3 (60%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Marko Ančić70%
Daniel Pineda 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marko Ančić a 70% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Pineda's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1592), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Pineda finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marko Ančić 60%.

Marko Ančić carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.