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Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Rutkowski vs Márcio Barbosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-4-0Record19-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
67"Reach70"
146 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel RutkowskiNow 1726
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710
Márcio BarbosaNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
7.01
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.65
Not available
Strike defense
53%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel RutkowskiMárcio Barbosa
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
16 (84%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (11%)
11 (58%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Daniel Rutkowski and Márcio Barbosa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1726 vs 1725), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Rutkowski enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Márcio Barbosa enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Daniel Rutkowski finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Márcio Barbosa 95%.

Márcio Barbosa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.