Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Zellhuber vs Yamato Nishikawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record21-5-6
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'7"
77"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamNishikawa Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel ZellhuberNow 1681
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
Yamato NishikawaNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.83
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
39%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
0.15
Takedown avg.
Not available
25%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
95%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.15
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Daniel ZellhuberYamato Nishikawa
165017001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
3 (20%)
Submission
4 (19%)
5 (33%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Zellhuber69%
Yamato Nishikawa 31%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Zellhuber a 69% favorite over Yamato Nishikawa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yamato Nishikawa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.

Daniel Zellhuber enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Yamato Nishikawa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Zellhuber finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Yamato Nishikawa 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.