Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Zellhuber vs Yamato Nishikawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record21-5-6
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'7"
77"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamNishikawa Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel ZellhuberNow 1681
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
Yamato NishikawaNow 1681
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.83
Sig. strikes / min
0
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
0.15
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
95%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.15
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniel ZellhuberYamato Nishikawa
165017001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
3 (20%)
Submission
4 (19%)
5 (33%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Zellhuber57%
Yamato Nishikawa 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Zellhuber a 57% favorite over Yamato Nishikawa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1681), separated by just 0 points.

Daniel Zellhuber enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Yamato Nishikawa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Zellhuber finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Yamato Nishikawa 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.