Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniil Donchenko vs Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record15-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamAlfa Profi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniil DonchenkoNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
Zhakshylyk MyrzabekovNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.15
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
60%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
73%
Strike defense
TBD
0.77
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Daniil DonchenkoZhakshylyk Myrzabekov
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
2 (14%)
Submission
2 (13%)
3 (21%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniil Donchenko52%
Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniil Donchenko a 52% favorite over Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1709), separated by just 1 points.

Daniil Donchenko enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Daniil Donchenko finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.