Daniil Matsola vs Greg Hardy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record9-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
-Reach80"
240 lbsWeight266 lbs
Sech Pro· 1668 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamSkills Sport & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1648
If they lose-24→ 1600
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniil MatsolaGreg Hardy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Greg Hardy67%
Daniil Matsola 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Greg Hardy a 67% favorite over Daniil Matsola in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniil Matsola's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.
Daniil Matsola finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Greg Hardy 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.