Danny Roberts vs Jaden Ortega
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record6-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Team McHaleTeamSikjitsu· 1667 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1439 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Danny RobertsJaden Ortega
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Danny Roberts58%
Jaden Ortega 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Danny Roberts a 58% favorite over Jaden Ortega in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.
Danny Roberts enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jaden Ortega enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Danny Roberts finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Jaden Ortega 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.