Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Sabatello vs Rei Tsuruya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-4-1Record11-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70.5"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
American Top TeamTeamThe Blackbelt Japan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny SabatelloNow 1735
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
Rei TsuruyaNow 1729
If they win+16→ 1745
If they lose-16→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.07
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
57%
Strike accuracy
54%
0.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.91
25%
Strike defense
43%
3
Takedown avg.
5.03
0%
Takedown accuracy
6%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
1
Submission avg.
2.01

Trajectory

Danny SabatelloRei Tsuruya
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
5 (26%)
Submission
5 (45%)
9 (47%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Danny Sabatello64%
Rei Tsuruya 36%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Danny Sabatello a 64% favorite over Rei Tsuruya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1729), separated by just 6 points.

Danny Sabatello enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Danny Sabatello finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Rei Tsuruya 82%.

Danny Sabatello carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.