Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Sabatello vs Ricky Simón

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-4-1Record22-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
70.5"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Portland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny SabatelloNow 1735
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
Ricky SimónNow 1735
If they win+12→ 1747
If they lose-12→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.07
Sig. strikes / min
3.04
57%
Strike accuracy
43%
0.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
25%
Strike defense
61%
3
Takedown avg.
4.66
0%
Takedown accuracy
42%
100%
Takedown defense
77%
1
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Danny SabatelloRicky Simón
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
5 (26%)
Submission
4 (18%)
9 (47%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Danny Sabatello71%
Ricky Simón 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Danny Sabatello a 71% favorite over Ricky Simón in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1735), separated by just 0 points.

Danny Sabatello enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Danny Sabatello finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Simón 50%.

Danny Sabatello carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.