Combat Edge Intelligence

Danny Silva vs Vugar Karamov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record22-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
70"Reach70.5"
149 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Danny SilvaNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Vugar KaramovNow 1689
If they win+16→ 1705
If they lose-16→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.67
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
55%
Strike accuracy
Not available
7.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
61%
Strike defense
Not available
2
Takedown avg.
Not available
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
82%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.25
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Danny SilvaVugar Karamov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
7 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (43%)
5 (45%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Danny Silva57%
Vugar Karamov 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Danny Silva a 57% favorite over Vugar Karamov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1689), separated by just 1 points.

Danny Silva finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Vugar Karamov 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.