Combat Edge Intelligence

Darragh Kelly vs Turpal Gediev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Darragh Kelly
ie

Darragh Kelly

“Moville Mauler”

9-1-0FeatherweightPFL

1670Good

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record8-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
73"Reach71.7"
145 lbsWeight147 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamIntegra Fight Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darragh KellyNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Turpal GedievNow 1670
If they win+24→ 1694
If they lose-24→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Darragh KellyTurpal Gediev
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
5 (56%)
Submission
3 (38%)
2 (22%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Darragh Kelly61%
Turpal Gediev 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darragh Kelly a 61% favorite over Turpal Gediev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1670), separated by just 0 points.

Turpal Gediev enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Darragh Kelly finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Turpal Gediev 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.