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Combat Edge Intelligence

Darren Elkins vs Václav Štěpán

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

29-13-0Record4-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamAll Sports Academy· 1684 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darren ElkinsNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670
Václav ŠtěpánNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
38%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
51%
Strike defense
Not available
2.87
Takedown avg.
Not available
20%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
56%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.07
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Darren ElkinsVáclav Štěpán
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
6 (21%)
Submission
1 (25%)
14 (48%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Darren Elkins57%
Václav Štěpán 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darren Elkins a 57% favorite over Václav Štěpán in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1682), separated by just 0 points.

Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Václav Štěpán enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Darren Elkins finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Václav Štěpán 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.