Dauren Ermekov vs Sullivan Cauley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record8-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach76"
187 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamDan's Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dauren ErmekovSullivan Cauley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dauren Ermekov64%
Sullivan Cauley 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dauren Ermekov a 64% favorite over Sullivan Cauley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sullivan Cauley's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1647), separated by just 3 points.
Dauren Ermekov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Sullivan Cauley 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.