Combat Edge Intelligence

Dauren Ermekov vs Vitaly Bigdash

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
187 lbsWeight206 lbs
TBDTeamFight Club Akhmat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dauren ErmekovNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
Vitaly BigdashNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dauren ErmekovVitaly Bigdash
165020252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
3 (17%)
Submission
7 (50%)
8 (44%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Dauren Ermekov66%
Vitaly Bigdash 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dauren Ermekov a 66% favorite over Vitaly Bigdash in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1642), separated by just 2 points.

Dauren Ermekov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Vitaly Bigdash 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.