Davi Bittencourt vs Lucas Rocha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'2"
65" Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Josue Fight Boxing SchoolTeamRenovacao Coari Team· 1673 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Davi BittencourtLucas Rocha
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Rocha66%
Davi Bittencourt 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Rocha a 66% favorite over Davi Bittencourt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1687), separated by just 2 points.
Davi Bittencourt enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Davi Bittencourt finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Rocha 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.