Combat Edge Intelligence

Davi Brandão vs Geraldo de Freitas Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
TBDReach39,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
OCS MonteiroTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Davi BrandãoNow 1612
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
Geraldo de Freitas Jr.Now 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.67
Not available
Strike accuracy
52%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
Not available
Strike defense
50%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3
Not available
Takedown accuracy
45%
Not available
Takedown defense
59%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Davi BrandãoGeraldo de Freitas Jr.
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
3 (50%)
Submission
7 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Davi Brandão56%
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Davi Brandão a 56% favorite over Geraldo de Freitas Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Geraldo de Freitas Jr.'s way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

Geraldo de Freitas Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Davi Brandão finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.