Combat Edge Intelligence

David Martinez vs Rhys McKee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
David  Martinez
au

David Martinez

“The Smiling Assassin”

17-6-0MiddleweightPFL

1641Solid
Rhys McKee
ie

Rhys McKee

“Skeletor”

15-7-1WelterweightPFL

1648Solid

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record15-7-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
71"Reach78"
176 lbsWeight170 lbs
Peter de Been Jiu-JitsuTeamNext Generation Northern Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David MartinezNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
Rhys McKeeNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.15
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
48%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David MartinezRhys McKee
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
7 (41%)
Submission
3 (20%)
7 (41%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Rhys McKee52%
David Martinez 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Rhys McKee a 52% favorite over David Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1648), separated by just 7 points.

David Martinez enters on a 6-fight win streak.

David Martinez finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Rhys McKee 93%.

Rhys McKee carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.