Combat Edge Intelligence

David Bielkheden vs Fabrizio Escarrega

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record9-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1680 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamVictory Fight Club· 1674 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David BielkhedenNow 1633
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621
Fabrizio EscarregaNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.11
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
57%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
2.65
Takedown avg.
Not available
64%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
14%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

David BielkhedenFabrizio Escarrega
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (46%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
4 (15%)
Submission
1 (11%)
10 (38%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Fabrizio Escarrega63%
David Bielkheden 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fabrizio Escarrega a 63% favorite over David Bielkheden in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Bielkheden's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1633), separated by just 0 points.

David Bielkheden finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Fabrizio Escarrega 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.