Combat Edge Intelligence

David Bielkheden vs Mandel Nallo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mandel Nallo
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Mandel Nallo

“Rat Garbage / Mango”

14-4-0LightweightUFC

1635Solid

Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David BielkhedenNow 1633
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621
Mandel NalloNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.11
Sig. strikes / min
8.61
57%
Strike accuracy
63%
1.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.58
55%
Strike defense
73%
2.65
Takedown avg.
0
64%
Takedown accuracy
0%
14%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David BielkhedenMandel Nallo
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (46%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
4 (15%)
Submission
6 (43%)
10 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mandel Nallo70%
David Bielkheden 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mandel Nallo a 70% favorite over David Bielkheden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1635), separated by just 2 points.

David Bielkheden finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Mandel Nallo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.