David Samuel vs Kyle Noke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record22-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-Reach76,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nikolay TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1665
If they lose-24→ 1617
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David SamuelKyle Noke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Noke61%
David Samuel 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Noke a 61% favorite over David Samuel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Samuel's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1640), separated by just 1 points.
David Samuel enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
David Samuel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Noke 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.