David Wright vs Felipe Rosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record4-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David WrightFelipe Rosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felipe Rosa57%
David Wright 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Rosa a 57% favorite over David Wright in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Wright's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1575), separated by just 0 points.
David Wright finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Rosa 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.