Combat Edge Intelligence

David Wright vs Theoren Thorn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record5-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"HeightTBD
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight175 lbs
Lovato's School of Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamKaizen MMA & Yoga

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David WrightNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551
Theoren ThornNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David WrightTheoren Thorn
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
3 (50%)
Submission
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting David Wright and Theoren Thorn within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1575), separated by just 0 points.

David Wright finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Theoren Thorn 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.