Davlet Karataev vs Kyle Noke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record22-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
69"Reach76,0"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Spitfire Gym BerlinTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Davlet KarataevKyle Noke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Davlet Karataev60%
Kyle Noke 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Davlet Karataev a 60% favorite over Kyle Noke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1640), separated by just 1 points.
Davlet Karataev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Davlet Karataev finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Noke 73%.
Kyle Noke carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.