Combat Edge Intelligence

Davlet Karataev vs Kyle Noke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kyle Noke
au

Kyle Noke

“KO”

22-10-1WelterweightUFC

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record22-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
69"Reach76,0"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1605 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Davlet KarataevNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Kyle NokeNow 1640
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
Not available
Strike accuracy
51%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.09
Not available
Strike defense
64%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.53
Not available
Takedown accuracy
55%
Not available
Takedown defense
67%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Davlet KarataevKyle Noke
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
9 (41%)
2 (22%)
Submission
7 (32%)
1 (11%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Noke72%
Davlet Karataev 28%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Noke a 72% favorite over Davlet Karataev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Davlet Karataev's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1640), separated by just 5 points.

Davlet Karataev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Davlet Karataev finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Noke 73%.

Kyle Noke carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.