Combat Edge Intelligence

Davlet Karataev vs Muslim Tulshaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'3"
69"Reach78.7"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1604 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamSpitfire Gym Berlin· 1604 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Davlet KarataevNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Muslim TulshaevNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Davlet KarataevMuslim Tulshaev
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
2 (22%)
Submission
5 (36%)
1 (11%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Muslim Tulshaev68%
Davlet Karataev 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Tulshaev a 68% favorite over Davlet Karataev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Davlet Karataev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1642), separated by just 0 points.

Davlet Karataev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Davlet Karataev finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Muslim Tulshaev 79%.

Muslim Tulshaev carries a 10-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.