Combat Edge Intelligence

Dean Garnett vs Paulo Portillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-1Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
64"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team McHaleTeamAZ Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dean GarnettNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Paulo PortilloNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dean GarnettPaulo Portillo
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
6 (40%)
Submission
11 (65%)
5 (33%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Dean Garnett54%
Paulo Portillo 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dean Garnett a 54% favorite over Paulo Portillo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paulo Portillo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1640), separated by just 2 points.

Dean Garnett finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Portillo 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.