Del Hawkins vs Nathan Haywood
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-17-0Record4-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
130 lbsWeight135 lbs
House of ChampionsTeamThe Unity Gym
What's at stake
Del Hawkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nathan Haywood carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1534
If they lose-13→ 1510
If they win+25→ 1527
If they lose-23→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Del HawkinsNathan Haywood
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nathan Haywood51%
Del Hawkins 49%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Haywood a 51% favorite over Del Hawkins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Del Hawkins's way (47%).
Del Hawkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1523 to 1502, a 21-point edge.
Del Hawkins enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Nathan Haywood enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Del Hawkins finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Haywood 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.