Denis Silva vs Mathieu Greco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1702 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBali MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1572
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Denis SilvaMathieu Greco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Denis Silva71%
Mathieu Greco 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Denis Silva a 71% favorite over Mathieu Greco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.
Denis Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mathieu Greco enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Denis Silva finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Mathieu Greco 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.