Combat Edge Intelligence

Denis Tiuliulin vs Mark Weir

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Weir
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Mark Weir

“The Wizard”

21-18-1MiddleweightSFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

10-10-0Record21-18-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Evolve GymTeamRange

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denis TiuliulinNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Mark WeirNow 1537
If they win+12→ 1549
If they lose-12→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.61
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
41%
Strike accuracy
64%
5.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
38%
Strike defense
38%
0.96
Takedown avg.
0
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
72%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
3.23

Trajectory

Denis TiuliulinMark Weir
1550160020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (90%)
KO/TKO
11 (52%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (43%)
1 (10%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Denis Tiuliulin and Mark Weir within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1537), separated by just 0 points.

Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Denis Tiuliulin finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Mark Weir 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.