Combat Edge Intelligence

Denise Kielholtz vs Victoria Leonardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record10-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'5"
66"Reach64"
124 lbsWeight125 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denise KielholtzNow 1563
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547
Victoria LeonardoNow 1559
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
Not available
Strike accuracy
39%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.81
Not available
Strike defense
47%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.57
Not available
Takedown accuracy
28%
Not available
Takedown defense
71%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Denise KielholtzVictoria Leonardo
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
3 (33%)
Submission
5 (50%)
4 (44%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Victoria Leonardo53%
Denise Kielholtz 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Victoria Leonardo a 53% favorite over Denise Kielholtz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Denise Kielholtz's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1559), separated by just 4 points.

Denise Kielholtz finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Victoria Leonardo 60%.

Denise Kielholtz carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.