Deniz Ilbay vs Gaston Bolaños
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record9-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
70"Reach69"
146 lbsWeight135 lbs
UFD GymTeamCSA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Deniz IlbayGaston Bolaños
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gaston Bolaños57%
Deniz Ilbay 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gaston Bolaños a 57% favorite over Deniz Ilbay in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Deniz Ilbay's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1596), separated by just 1 points.
Deniz Ilbay finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Gaston Bolaños 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.