Derek Campos vs Gabriel Tabet
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-16-0Record1-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
68.5"Reach-
176 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Gabriel Tabet is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Derek Campos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1498
If they lose-11→ 1474
If they win+23→ 1523
If they lose-25→ 1475
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Derek CamposGabriel Tabet
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derek Campos59%
Gabriel Tabet 41%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Derek Campos a 59% favorite over Gabriel Tabet in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gabriel Tabet's way (48%).
Gabriel Tabet holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1485, a 15-point edge.
Derek Campos enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Derek Campos finishes 55% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.