Derek Campos vs Marcio Cabral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-16-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'1"
68.5"Reach-
176 lbsWeight185 lbs
Victory Combat Sports AcademyTeamBonfim Brothers· 1593 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1497
If they lose-12→ 1473
If they win+23→ 1520
If they lose-25→ 1472
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Derek CamposMarcio Cabral
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derek Campos58%
Marcio Cabral 42%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Derek Campos a 58% favorite over Marcio Cabral in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcio Cabral's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1485 vs 1497), separated by just 12 points.
Derek Campos enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Derek Campos finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Cabral 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.