Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Brandao vs Mehdi Saadi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-21-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
38,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight140 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego BrandaoNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597
Mehdi SaadiNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
3.21
Takedown avg.
TBD
68%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
81%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.57
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Diego BrandaoMehdi Saadi
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (55%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
6 (21%)
Submission
4 (57%)
7 (24%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Mehdi Saadi61%
Diego Brandao 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mehdi Saadi a 61% favorite over Diego Brandao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.

Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Mehdi Saadi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Diego Brandao finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Mehdi Saadi 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.