Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Costa vs Diego Esteche

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Diego Costa
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Diego Costa

“Tigre”

4-2-0BantamweightLFA

1539Average

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record1-0-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Five RoundsTeamAFC Villalba

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego CostaNow 1539
If they win+24→ 1563
If they lose-24→ 1515
Diego EstecheNow 1533
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Diego CostaDiego Esteche
155020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
1 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Diego Costa and Diego Esteche within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1533), separated by just 6 points.

Diego Costa finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.