Diego Costa vs Jacob Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record11-10-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Five RoundsTeamMetro Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1563
If they lose-24→ 1515
If they win+16→ 1548
If they lose-16→ 1516
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego CostaJacob Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Costa73%
Jacob Silva 27%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Costa a 73% favorite over Jacob Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1532), separated by just 7 points.
Diego Costa finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jacob Silva 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.