Combat Edge Intelligence

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Elmar Gasanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record12-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tobet Top TeamTeamSparta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diyar NurgozhayNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Elmar GasanovNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
59%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
1.37
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Diyar NurgozhayElmar Gasanov
1650170020252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
2 (18%)
Submission
1 (8%)
3 (27%)
Decision
8 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Elmar Gasanov60%
Diyar Nurgozhay 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elmar Gasanov a 60% favorite over Diyar Nurgozhay in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1685), separated by just 2 points.

Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Elmar Gasanov 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.