Combat Edge Intelligence

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Elmar Gasanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record12-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tobet Top TeamTeamSparta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diyar NurgozhayNow 1699
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683
Elmar GasanovNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
59%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
61%
Strike defense
Not available
1.37
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
80%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Diyar NurgozhayElmar Gasanov
1650170020252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
2 (17%)
Submission
1 (8%)
3 (25%)
Decision
8 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Elmar Gasanov51%
Diyar Nurgozhay 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Elmar Gasanov a 51% favorite over Diyar Nurgozhay in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diyar Nurgozhay's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1694), separated by just 5 points.

Diyar Nurgozhay enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Elmar Gasanov 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.