Combat Edge Intelligence

Don Shainis vs Nashkho Galaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Don Shainis
us

Don Shainis

“Shameless”

15-8-0FeatherweightCFC

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record13-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
67"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don ShainisNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
Nashkho GalaevNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
31%
Strike defense
Not available
0.97
Takedown avg.
Not available
25%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
20%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.94
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Don ShainisNashkho Galaev
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
10 (77%)
3 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (27%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Nashkho Galaev56%
Don Shainis 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nashkho Galaev a 56% favorite over Don Shainis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Don Shainis's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1577), separated by just 2 points.

Don Shainis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Nashkho Galaev 77%.

Nashkho Galaev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.