Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Ma vs Hafeni Nafuka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hafeni Nafuka
na

Hafeni Nafuka

“The Namibian Nightmare”

12-5-0LightweightOKMMA

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

16-11-3Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70.50Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
Hafeni NafukaNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
49%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
2.93
Takedown avg.
Not available
44%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
72%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.60
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dong Hyun MaHafeni Nafuka
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
6 (38%)
Submission
8 (67%)
4 (25%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Dong Hyun Ma54%
Hafeni Nafuka 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dong Hyun Ma a 54% favorite over Hafeni Nafuka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hafeni Nafuka's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1617), separated by just 2 points.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Hafeni Nafuka 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.