Douglas Rodrigues vs Jackson McVey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record7-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'4"
-Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamSt. Charles MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1641
If they lose-24→ 1593
If they win+24→ 1643
If they lose-24→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Douglas RodriguesJackson McVey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jackson McVey53%
Douglas Rodrigues 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 53% favorite over Douglas Rodrigues in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1619), separated by just 2 points.
Douglas Rodrigues enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Douglas Rodrigues finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jackson McVey 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.