Combat Edge Intelligence

Dovlet Yagshimuradov vs Khabib Nabiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-8-1Record12-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
72"Reach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dovlet YagshimuradovNow 1724
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712
Khabib NabievNow 1721
If they win+16→ 1737
If they lose-16→ 1705

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dovlet YagshimuradovKhabib Nabiev
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (54%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
4 (15%)
Submission
5 (42%)
8 (31%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dovlet Yagshimuradov and Khabib Nabiev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1721), separated by just 3 points.

Khabib Nabiev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Dovlet Yagshimuradov finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Khabib Nabiev 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.