Combat Edge Intelligence

Dwight Joseph vs Lazaro Dayron

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-3-0Record10-0-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
66"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamThe Goat Shed Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dwight JosephNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Lazaro DayronNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dwight JosephLazaro Dayron
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
3 (19%)
Submission
1 (10%)
8 (50%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Lazaro Dayron60%
Dwight Joseph 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lazaro Dayron a 60% favorite over Dwight Joseph in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dwight Joseph's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1688), separated by just 2 points.

Lazaro Dayron enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dwight Joseph finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Lazaro Dayron 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.