Dwight Joseph vs Michael McDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-3-0Record19-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
66"Reach70,0"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamLast Stand Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dwight JosephMichael McDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dwight Joseph51%
Michael McDonald 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dwight Joseph a 51% favorite over Michael McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael McDonald's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1691), separated by just 1 points.
Michael McDonald enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dwight Joseph finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Michael McDonald 84%.
Michael McDonald carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.