Combat Edge Intelligence

Dylan Budka vs Theoren Thorn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dylan Budka
us

Dylan Budka

“The Mindless Hulk”

7-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1571Solid

Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record5-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"HeightTBD
75″Reach-
189 lbsWeight175 lbs
Demolition Fight TeamTeamKaizen MMA & Yoga

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dylan BudkaNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
Theoren ThornNow 1576
If they win+24→ 1600
If they lose-24→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.07
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
41%
Strike defense
TBD
2.02
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.40
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dylan BudkaTheoren Thorn
150015501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
2 (29%)
Submission
2 (40%)
4 (57%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Theoren Thorn56%
Dylan Budka 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Theoren Thorn a 56% favorite over Dylan Budka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1576), separated by just 5 points.

Dylan Budka enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dylan Budka finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Theoren Thorn 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.