Combat Edge Intelligence

Dylan Smerillo vs Sina Maani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-4-0Record3-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"HeightTBD
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

Sina Maani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Dylan Smerillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dylan SmerilloNow 1536
If they win+25→ 1561
If they lose-23→ 1513
Sina MaaniNow 1551
If they win+23→ 1574
If they lose-25→ 1526

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dylan SmerilloSina Maani
14501500155020252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
4 (80%)
Submission
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sina Maani66%
Dylan Smerillo 34%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Sina Maani a 66% favorite over Dylan Smerillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Sina Maani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1551 to 1536, a 15-point edge.

Sina Maani enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dylan Smerillo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sina Maani 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.