Combat Edge Intelligence

Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Justin DeMoney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record15-11-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

Ebrahem Mahmoud is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Justin DeMoney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ebrahem MahmoudNow 1471
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444
Justin DeMoneyNow 1426
If they win+18→ 1444
If they lose-14→ 1412

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ebrahem MahmoudJustin DeMoney
145020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Ebrahem Mahmoud78%
Justin DeMoney 22%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 78% favorite over Justin DeMoney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Ebrahem Mahmoud holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1426, a 45-point edge.

Justin DeMoney enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Justin DeMoney 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.