Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Justin DeMoney
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record15-11-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
What's at stake
Ebrahem Mahmoud is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Justin DeMoney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444
If they win+18→ 1444
If they lose-14→ 1412
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ebrahem MahmoudJustin DeMoney
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud75%
Justin DeMoney 25%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 75% favorite over Justin DeMoney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Ebrahem Mahmoud holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1426, a 45-point edge.
Justin DeMoney enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Justin DeMoney 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.