Combat Edge Intelligence

Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Leandro Camargo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record7-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'7"
75''Reach-
170 lbsWeight161 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamStrikers MMA

What's at stake

Leandro Camargo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ebrahem Mahmoud carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ebrahem MahmoudNow 1471
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
Leandro CamargoNow 1489
If they win+15→ 1504
If they lose-17→ 1472

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ebrahem MahmoudLeandro Camargo
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (86%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ebrahem Mahmoud55%
Leandro Camargo 45%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 55% favorite over Leandro Camargo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leandro Camargo's way (47%).

Leandro Camargo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1489 to 1471, a 18-point edge.

Leandro Camargo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leandro Camargo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.