Combat Edge Intelligence

Eddy Millis vs Matthew O'Rourke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-2-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height-
TBDReach-
198 lbsWeight205 lbs
Shark TankTeamTeam Ryano Waterford

What's at stake

Matthew O'Rourke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Eddy Millis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eddy MillisNow 1428
If they win+27→ 1455
If they lose-21→ 1407
Matthew O'RourkeNow 1471
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Combat Edge model read

Matthew O'Rourke64%
Eddy Millis 36%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthew O'Rourke a 64% favorite over Eddy Millis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Matthew O'Rourke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1428, a 43-point edge.

Eddy Millis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.