Eddy Millis vs Matthew O'Rourke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height-
TBDReach-
198 lbsWeight205 lbs
Shark TankTeamTeam Ryano Waterford
What's at stake
Matthew O'Rourke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Eddy Millis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1455
If they lose-21→ 1407
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Combat Edge model read
Matthew O'Rourke72%
Eddy Millis 28%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew O'Rourke a 72% favorite over Eddy Millis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Matthew O'Rourke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1428, a 43-point edge.
Eddy Millis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.