Edil Esengulov vs Jan Błachowicz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-6-1Record29-11-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'6"Height6'2"
-Reach78"
187 lbsWeight205 lbs
Alfa ProfiTeamWCA Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1754
If they lose-12→ 1730
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1765 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Edil EsengulovJan Błachowicz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edil Esengulov81%
Jan Błachowicz 19%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Edil Esengulov a 81% favorite over Jan Błachowicz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jan Błachowicz's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1742 vs 1748), separated by just 6 points.
Edil Esengulov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Edil Esengulov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Jan Błachowicz 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.