Combat Edge Intelligence

Edil Esengulov vs Makhmud Muradov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Edil Esengulov
kg

Edil Esengulov

“Issyk-Kul Dragon”

26-6-1Light HeavyweightACA

1744Good

Tale of the tape

26-6-1Record30-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'6"Height6'2"
-Reach75"
187 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alfa ProfiTeamAnkos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edil EsengulovNow 1744
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732
Makhmud MuradovNow 1736
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.21
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
Not available
Strike defense
61%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.03
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
78%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Edil EsengulovMakhmud Muradov
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (46%)
KO/TKO
19 (63%)
8 (31%)
Submission
3 (10%)
6 (23%)
Decision
8 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Makhmud Muradov62%
Edil Esengulov 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Makhmud Muradov a 62% favorite over Edil Esengulov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Edil Esengulov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1736), separated by just 8 points.

Edil Esengulov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Makhmud Muradov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Edil Esengulov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Makhmud Muradov 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.